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Will the first official repatriation movement of Nigerians from South Africa take place before June 30?

CLOSES 20 JUN 2026 · 0 FORECASTS SUBMITTED

CROWD OUTLOOK

YES50%

NO50%

Based on 0 forecasts

CONTEXT

More than 1,000 Nigerians have reportedly registered interest in voluntary return from South Africa following xenophobic attacks and rising safety concerns. This forecast tracks whether an official repatriation flight or organized movement will take place before the end of June.

RESOLUTION RULES▾

Resolves YES if Nigeria’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, NIDCOM, South African authorities, or at least one credible news source confirms that an official repatriation flight or organized movement of Nigerians from South Africa has taken place before 11:59 PM WAT on June 30, 2026. Resolves NO if no such confirmed official movement takes place by the deadline. General registration, planning, or diplomatic discussion does not count unless a repatriation movement actually occurs.

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70%

50% UNCERTAIN100% CERTAIN

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This is a public signal on future events — not a bet, wager, or financial instrument. No money changes hands. Your forecast contributes to public intelligence on Nigerian events.