WEATHERACTIVE

Will a major flood alert name Lagos, Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, Kogi, Niger, Benue, or the FCT before July 15?

CLOSES 25 JUN 2026 · 0 FORECASTS SUBMITTED

CROWD OUTLOOK

YES50%

NO50%

Based on 0 forecasts

CONTEXT

Nigeria’s 2026 flood outlook identifies widespread flood risk across many states and the FCT. This forecast tracks whether a major flood alert will specifically name one or more high-risk areas before mid-July.

RESOLUTION RULES▾

Resolves YES if NiHSA, NEMA, NiMet, a state emergency agency, or at least one credible national news source publishes a major flood alert or warning naming Lagos, Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa, Kogi, Niger, Benue, or the FCT before 11:59 PM WAT on July 15, 2026. Resolves NO if no qualifying alert or warning names any of the listed states/FCT by the deadline. A general rainy season update should not count unless it clearly includes a flood alert or warning for at least one of the listed locations.

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70%

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This is a public signal on future events — not a bet, wager, or financial instrument. No money changes hands. Your forecast contributes to public intelligence on Nigerian events.